Our model suggests President Trump is under water in every swing state
American voters are having a hard time working out what they really want

By historic standards, Donald Trump’s approval ratings are limp. The Economist is tracking Americans’ opinions with polling conducted by YouGov. His net approval rating nationwide is currently 12 percentage points under water: 41% of Americans approve of his handling of his job as president while 53% disapprove.
Explore more
This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Swinging away”
United States
June 21st 2025- Democrats could do a lot better with the power they hold
- Congestion pricing in Manhattan is a predictable success
- The attacks in Minnesota reflect a worrying trend
- The strange history of the tribe courted by Donald Trump
- Our model suggests President Trump is under water in every swing state
- The New York mayor’s race is a study in Democratic Party dysfunction

From the June 21st 2025 edition
Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents
Explore the edition
Jeffrey Epstein is still causing trouble for Donald Trump
His administration cannot shake rumours of a cover-up—in part because MAGA types enthusiastically endorsed it

What went wrong in the Texas floods?
DOGE may not have been to blame but local politicians have a case to answer

American men are hungry for injectable testosterone
A legion of new health clinics are serving it up
Trump embarrasses the Pentagon with a U-turn on Ukraine
His decision to resume arms shipments is a victory for common sense—while it lasts
ICE’s big payday makes mass deportation possible
What the controversial agency will do with even more funding