Briefing | Decisive attack, unknown result

Israel’s blitz on Iran is fraught with uncertainty

Much hinges on the stubborn supreme leader and America’s mercurial president

Smoke rises from locations targeted in Tehran amid the third day of Israel's waves of strikes against Iran, on Sunday, June 15, 2025
Photograph: AFP
|DUBAI and JERUSALEM|13 min read

JUST OVER a month ago, Donald Trump was in Saudi Arabia denouncing “interventionists” who tried to reshape the Middle East. The president decided not to stop in Israel on his way back home, a sign of his strained relationship with the Israeli prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, who was also facing a series of political crises at home. Instead Mr Trump was eager to negotiate with Iran, which he hoped would become a “really successful” country. He shared a video of a top adviser to Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, proposing a deal over its nuclear-weapons programme.

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This article appeared in the Briefing section of the print edition under the headline “Decisive attack, unknown result”

From the June 21st 2025 edition

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Assessments vary wildly and it is impossible to know for sure

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If it fails the regime could make a frantic dash for a bomb